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Independent project, not affiliated with Anthropic
pmprompt avatar

Thinking In Bets

pmprompt/claude-plugin-product-management
398 installs43 stars
Summary

Based on Annie Duke's framework, this helps you separate decision quality from outcomes, which matters when you're doing post-mortems or making calls with incomplete information. Instead of judging whether you were right, you evaluate whether your thinking process was sound at the time. Use it for pre-mortems, setting kill criteria, or just avoiding the trap of calling something a good decision because it happened to work out. The shift from "was I right?" to "was my process good?" is simple but cuts through a lot of hindsight bias and groupthink in team settings. Best for decisions where luck plays a role and you need to learn from results without getting distorted by them.

Install to Claude Code

npx -y skills add pmprompt/claude-plugin-product-management --skill thinking-in-bets --agent claude-code

Installs into .claude/skills of the current project.

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Files
SKILL.md

Select a file.

Featured
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create and run specialised agents in minutes
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Plug Mailtrap into your AI workflow and let it handle the email.
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Categories
Code Review & QualityProductivity & Planning
First SeenJun 3, 2026
View on GitHub

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