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Market Intelligence Mcp

bullrundata/market-intelligence-mcp
18 toolsauthSTDIOregistry active
Summary

Connects Claude to BullrunData's macro intelligence API with 23 tools covering recession probability scoring, sector rotation signals, CFTC institutional positioning, and real-time FRED economic indicators. Includes a cascade engine that models chain reactions for ten macro catalysts (oil shocks, dollar squeezes, Fed cuts, geopolitical escalation). Also surfaces real estate deal calculators for rental properties and BRRRR analysis. Reach for this when you need Claude to assess recession risk, decode risk-on/risk-off sector flows, or war-game systematic scenarios like yield curve inversions or credit freezes. Free tier gives you 100 calls per day, no card required.

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Tools

Public tool metadata for what this MCP can expose to an agent.

8 tools
get_market_summaryGet a summary of the current Upwork freelance market: total jobs tracked, jobs posted in last 24h, job type split (fixed vs hourly), and experience level distribution.

Get a summary of the current Upwork freelance market: total jobs tracked, jobs posted in last 24h, job type split (fixed vs hourly), and experience level distribution.

No parameter schema in public metadata yet.

get_trending_skillsGet the top trending skills on Upwork over the last 7 days. Returns skill names, job counts, and percentage change vs previous week.1 params

Get the top trending skills on Upwork over the last 7 days. Returns skill names, job counts, and percentage change vs previous week.

Parameters* required
limitnumber
Number of skills to return (1-25, default 10)
get_budgets_by_categoryGet average budgets by Upwork job category over the last 7 days. Returns average fixed-price and hourly rates per category with 7-day trend.1 params

Get average budgets by Upwork job category over the last 7 days. Returns average fixed-price and hourly rates per category with 7-day trend.

Parameters* required
limitnumber
Number of categories to return (1-10, default 10)
get_top_countriesGet the top countries where Upwork clients are hiring from in the last 7 days. Returns country names, job counts, and percentage share.1 params

Get the top countries where Upwork clients are hiring from in the last 7 days. Returns country names, job counts, and percentage share.

Parameters* required
limitnumber
Number of countries to return (1-15, default 10)
get_hot_jobsGet the hottest (highest budget) Upwork jobs posted in the last 24 hours. Returns job title, budget, country, experience level, skills, and direct link.1 params

Get the hottest (highest budget) Upwork jobs posted in the last 24 hours. Returns job title, budget, country, experience level, skills, and direct link.

Parameters* required
limitnumber
Number of jobs to return (1-6, default 6)
get_activity_heatmapGet a 7x24 heatmap of job posting activity (day of week x hour of day, UTC). Useful for finding the best times to be online on Upwork to apply first.

Get a 7x24 heatmap of job posting activity (day of week x hour of day, UTC). Useful for finding the best times to be online on Upwork to apply first.

No parameter schema in public metadata yet.

get_client_qualityGet distribution of client quality on Upwork over last 7 days, grouped by hire rate: low (<30%), medium (30-70%), high (>70%).

Get distribution of client quality on Upwork over last 7 days, grouped by hire rate: low (<30%), medium (30-70%), high (>70%).

No parameter schema in public metadata yet.

get_daily_trendGet daily job posting count and average budget for the last 7 days. Useful for spotting recent market shifts.

Get daily job posting count and average budget for the last 7 days. Useful for spotting recent market shifts.

No parameter schema in public metadata yet.

Market Intelligence MCP Server

Recession probability, sector rotation, institutional positioning, macro cascade scenario analysis, real estate calculators, and real-time economic data — for Claude, ChatGPT, Cursor, and any MCP client.

Powered by the BullrunData API.

Quick Start (hosted — recommended)

The hosted endpoint at https://bullrundata.com/api/mcp is the fastest path. No install, auto-updates, and every MCP client below supports it natively.

Get a free API key at bullrundata.com — 100 calls/day, no credit card.

Claude Code

claude mcp add --transport http bullrundata https://bullrundata.com/api/mcp --header "Authorization: Bearer YOUR_API_KEY"

Cursor

Add to ~/.cursor/mcp.json (or the project-local .cursor/mcp.json):

{
  "mcpServers": {
    "bullrundata": {
      "url": "https://bullrundata.com/api/mcp",
      "headers": {
        "Authorization": "Bearer YOUR_API_KEY"
      }
    }
  }
}

VS Code

Add to .vscode/mcp.json (workspace) or your user mcp.json:

{
  "servers": {
    "bullrundata": {
      "type": "http",
      "url": "https://bullrundata.com/api/mcp",
      "headers": {
        "Authorization": "Bearer YOUR_API_KEY"
      }
    }
  }
}

Windsurf

Add to ~/.codeium/windsurf/mcp_config.json:

{
  "mcpServers": {
    "bullrundata": {
      "serverUrl": "https://bullrundata.com/api/mcp",
      "headers": {
        "Authorization": "Bearer YOUR_API_KEY"
      }
    }
  }
}

Claude Desktop

Claude Desktop doesn't speak HTTP MCP natively yet — bridge via mcp-remote. Add to claude_desktop_config.json:

{
  "mcpServers": {
    "bullrundata": {
      "command": "npx",
      "args": [
        "-y",
        "mcp-remote",
        "https://bullrundata.com/api/mcp",
        "--header",
        "Authorization: Bearer YOUR_API_KEY"
      ]
    }
  }
}

You can also skip the header entirely — on first connect, mcp-remote opens an OAuth flow in your browser and auto-provisions a free-tier key.

Local install (npm)

If you'd rather run the server locally (e.g. air-gapped environments, custom auth), install via npm:

Claude Desktop:

{
  "mcpServers": {
    "market-intelligence": {
      "command": "npx",
      "args": ["-y", "@bullrundata/market-intelligence"],
      "env": {
        "BULLRUNDATA_API_KEY": "your-api-key"
      }
    }
  }
}

Claude Code:

claude mcp add market-intelligence -- npx -y @bullrundata/market-intelligence

Set BULLRUNDATA_API_KEY in the environment where the command runs.

Available Tools

Macro Intelligence

ToolDescription
dashboard_summaryOne-call macro snapshot — recession probability, market regime, Fed stance, and key indicators
recession_probabilityProprietary recession probability model with confirmation layer
recession_indicatorsCurated key metrics block from the dashboard summary
fed_stanceCurrent Fed monetary policy stance and Fed funds rate
market_regimeMarket cycle phase (early / mid / late_cycle / recession)
confirmation_statusCoincident-indicator confirmation slice for the recession model

Markets & Institutional

ToolDescription
sectors_rotationRisk-on/risk-off signal from S&P sector performance (cyclical vs defensive) with leaders/laggards
sectors_flowsPer-sector accumulation and distribution signals
institutional_cftcAggregate institutional futures positioning across major contracts
cftc_contracts_listList available contracts for use with cftc_positioning_detail
cftc_positioning_detailPer-contract smart-money breakdown with week-over-week change
institutional_ticTreasury International Capital flows — net foreign Treasury demand

Real Estate Calculators

ToolDescription
investment_property_analysisRental property analysis: cap rate, DSCR, cash flow, 1% rule
brrrr_analysisBRRRR deal scoring (0-100) with 70% rule and full breakdown

Economic Data

ToolDescription
economic_indicatorTime series for any tracked indicator (VIXCLS, UNRATE, CPIAUCSL, T10Y2Y, etc.)
list_indicatorsList all tracked indicators, optionally filtered by category
interest_ratesFed Policy + Interest Rates categories
inflation_dataAll Inflation-category indicators
employment_dataLabor Market category (unemployment, payrolls, claims, JOLTS)
housing_dataHousing category (mortgage rates, starts, permits, prices)
yield_curve10Y-2Y and 10Y-3M spreads with inversion check
market_sentimentMarkets + Financial Conditions + Consumer Sentiment

Cascade Engine (Macro Scenario Analysis)

ToolDescription
cascade_listList all macro catalyst scenarios
cascade_analysisFull chain reaction for a catalyst with live data enrichment
cascade_searchSearch catalysts by keyword (e.g., "oil", "dollar", "china")
cascade_by_categoryFilter by category: geopolitical, monetary, credit, commodity, currency, structural

Available Catalysts: Oil Supply Shock, Dollar Liquidity Squeeze, Fed Emergency Rate Cut, US Recession, China-Taiwan Escalation, Yield Curve Inversion, Credit Market Freeze, EM Currency Crisis, Trade War Escalation, Sovereign Debt Crisis

Example Conversations

"What's the current recession risk?"

Claude uses recession_probability and returns:

Current recession probability is 37.9% (moderate risk). Fed stance: neutral. Market regime: mid-cycle. Recommendation: Mixed signals require caution. Begin defensive rotation.

"Is this a good time to buy an investment property at $450K?"

Claude uses investment_property_analysis + interest_rates:

At $450K with 20% down at 7%, monthly cash flow is $287. Cap rate: 5.3%. Cash-on-cash: 4.2%. DSCR: 1.18 (healthy). Current 30Y mortgage rate: 6.38%.

"What's the market risk-on/risk-off signal?"

Claude uses sectors_rotation + institutional_cftc:

Sector rotation signal: RISK_ON. Cyclical sectors leading, defensive lagging. Institutional positioning aligned risk-seeking. Playbook: stay overweight cyclicals, watch for rotation breakdown.

"What happens if oil hits $120?"

Claude uses cascade_analysis + sectors_rotation:

Oil Supply Shock cascade: Dollar demand surges (mechanical) -> Asian FX reserves drain (likely, weeks) -> Asian equity outflows (likely) -> Forced rate hikes in Asia (probable, months). Current sector rotation: RISK_ON, but energy sector lagging suggests market hasn't priced supply risk yet. Playbook: inflation hedges and cash reserves. Watch Fed swap line usage for systemic signal.

Configuration

For the hosted endpoint, authentication is passed as a Bearer header in your client config (see Quick Start above) or negotiated via OAuth on first connect — no environment variables needed.

For the local npx install:

Environment VariableRequiredDescription
BULLRUNDATA_API_KEYYesYour API key from bullrundata.com

Pricing

TierCalls/DayPrice
Free100$0
Pro10,000$29/mo
Business100,000$99/mo

Troubleshooting

Tools don't appear in Claude after install

  1. Confirm the MCP server is registered: in Claude Desktop, check Settings → Connectors (or Developer) for market-intelligence. In Claude Code, run claude mcp list.
  2. Restart Claude Desktop fully (quit, not just close window) — connector changes don't hot-reload.
  3. Verify your BULLRUNDATA_API_KEY env var is set and valid. Without it, tools fail at first call.
  4. If using the remote server (https://market.bullrundata.com/mcp) directly, complete the OAuth flow in your browser when prompted — Claude needs the bearer token before it can call tools.

401 Unauthorized from a tool

Your API key is missing, expired, or inactive. Get a fresh one at bullrundata.com/login. For the remote server flow, re-authenticate via the OAuth screen; the connector auto-provisions a free-tier key on first connect.

429 Too Many Requests

You hit your daily rate limit. Limits reset at 00:00 UTC.

TierLimit
Free100 requests/day
Pro10,000 requests/day
Business100,000 requests/day

Upgrade at bullrundata.com/pricing or wait for the UTC reset.

OAuth flow stuck or times out (remote server)

The remote server uses GitHub OAuth. If the redirect hangs:

  1. Confirm cookies and pop-ups are allowed for market.bullrundata.com and claude.ai
  2. Try authorizing in an incognito window (clears cached OAuth state)
  3. Check that https://market.bullrundata.com/.well-known/oauth-authorization-server returns 200 in your browser

First request is slow (~2–4 seconds)

Cold-start latency on the serverless deploy. Subsequent requests in the same session should respond in <500ms.

cascade_analysis returns "live data unavailable"

The cascade tool optionally enriches with live BullrunData market data. If the upstream API is briefly unreachable, you'll still get the full catalyst tree — only the live overlay is skipped. Pass include_live_data: false to skip the live fetch entirely.

Tool returns stale data

Economic indicators refresh multiple times daily. Check data_freshness in dashboard_summary for the last refresh timestamp.

Still stuck

Open an issue at GitHub Issues or email support@bullrundata.com with: tool name, full error message, and approximate timestamp.

Support

  • Website: bullrundata.com
  • Docs: bullrundata.com/docs
  • Issues: GitHub Issues

License

MIT

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Configuration

BULLRUNDATA_API_KEY*secret

Your BullrunData API key (get one free at bullrundata.com)

Categories
Data & Analytics
Registryactive
Package@bullrundata/market-intelligence
TransportSTDIO
AuthRequired
UpdatedApr 7, 2026
View on GitHub

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