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Nephyr Weather

clm-studios/nephyr-weather
5 toolsSTDIOregistry active
Summary

Pulls GFS ensemble weather data for 12 cities with a focus on finding edges in prediction markets. You get access to probabilistic forecasts that can reveal when consensus weather predictions might be off, which matters if you're trading on weather-dependent outcomes or trying to spot mispriced contracts on platforms like Polymarket or Kalshi. The server surfaces ensemble spread and model agreement metrics rather than just point forecasts. Reach for this when you need programmatic access to weather uncertainty data for quantitative trading strategies, not for general weather lookups where a standard API would do fine.

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Tools

Public tool metadata for what this MCP can expose to an agent.

5 tools
get_weather_signalsGet GFS ensemble weather signals for one or more cities on a given date. Returns model probability of daily high exceeding various thresholds, derived from the 31-member GFS ensemble forecast. Requires cities (list of city names) and forecast_date (YYYY-MM-DD). Optional: thres...5 params

Get GFS ensemble weather signals for one or more cities on a given date. Returns model probability of daily high exceeding various thresholds, derived from the 31-member GFS ensemble forecast. Requires cities (list of city names) and forecast_date (YYYY-MM-DD). Optional: thres...

Parameters* required
citiesarray
List of city names e.g. ["NYC", "Chicago"]. Call get_city_info to see supported cities.
directionstring
Direction to evaluate: 'above' or 'below' the threshold.one of above · belowdefault: above
forecast_datestring
Forecast date in YYYY-MM-DD format.
market_typestring
Weather variable: 'high' (daily max), 'low' (daily min), 'rain' (precipitation).one of high · low · raindefault: high
threshold_fnumber
Temperature threshold in Fahrenheit (default 70).default: 70
get_ensemble_forecastFetch the raw GFS 31-member ensemble forecast for a city on a given date. Returns per-member daily high temperatures, low temperatures, and precipitation. Useful for custom probability calculations or verifying signal generation.2 params

Fetch the raw GFS 31-member ensemble forecast for a city on a given date. Returns per-member daily high temperatures, low temperatures, and precipitation. Useful for custom probability calculations or verifying signal generation.

Parameters* required
citystring
City name e.g. 'NYC', 'Chicago', 'London'.
forecast_datestring
Forecast date in YYYY-MM-DD format.
detect_edgesScan weather markets for edges — cases where the GFS model probability differs significantly from the market-implied probability. Requires a list of (signal, market) pairs. Returns all EdgeResults, or only tradeable ones if tradeable_only=True.9 params

Scan weather markets for edges — cases where the GFS model probability differs significantly from the market-implied probability. Requires a list of (signal, market) pairs. Returns all EdgeResults, or only tradeable ones if tradeable_only=True.

Parameters* required
citystring
City name for the signal.
directionstring
Signal direction.one of above · belowdefault: above
forecast_datestring
Forecast date YYYY-MM-DD.
market_pricenumber
Market YES price as probability (0-1).
market_typestring
Market type.one of high · low · raindefault: high
min_edge_pctnumber
Minimum edge in percent to flag tradeable (default 5).default: 5
platformstring
Platform the market is on.one of kalshi · polymarketdefault: kalshi
threshold_fnumber
Temperature threshold in Fahrenheit.
tickerstring
Market ticker (optional, for identification).default:
list_active_marketsList active weather markets on Polymarket or Kalshi. Optionally filter by city. Returns market tickers, prices, volumes, and metadata. Kalshi requires api_key to be provided.3 params

List active weather markets on Polymarket or Kalshi. Optionally filter by city. Returns market tickers, prices, volumes, and metadata. Kalshi requires api_key to be provided.

Parameters* required
citiesarray
Optional city filter.
kalshi_api_keystring
Kalshi API key (required for Kalshi markets).
platformstring
Which platform to query.one of polymarket · kalshi · alldefault: polymarket
get_city_infoGet coordinates and metadata for a supported city, or list all supported cities if no city is provided.1 params

Get coordinates and metadata for a supported city, or list all supported cities if no city is provided.

Parameters* required
citystring
City name or alias. Leave empty to list all cities.
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Registryactive
Packagenephyr-weather
TransportSTDIO
UpdatedApr 1, 2026
View on GitHub

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